What Happened

  • Weekend trade was quiet after Friday’s month-end moves.
  • Crypto prices were steady with no major catalysts.
  • Futures were little changed, signaling a calm open to February.

What It Means

  • Month-end flows have largely cleared, reducing near-term distortion.
  • The focus now shifts to February data and earnings guidance.
  • Low weekend volatility suggests risk sentiment is stabilizing.

What I Think

  • I am watching for confirmation that Friday’s rebound holds on Monday.
  • If risk remains stable, the market can digest the Fed message.
  • Otherwise, expect another leg of de-risking.

Market Terms

  • Flow distortion - Price moves amplified by technical positioning.
  • Stabilization - Markets settling after a volatile period.
  • De-risking - Reducing exposure to risky assets.