What Happened

  • Equity futures were modestly higher after the weekend drift.
  • Rates and FX were quiet as traders looked ahead to the Fed.
  • Oil and gold were steady with no new headlines.

What It Means

  • The market is trying to stabilize before a key policy event.
  • Low rate volatility suggests positioning is balanced.
  • Fed communication will likely override near-term data.

What I Think

  • I am keeping risk contained into the meeting.
  • If the Fed is hawkish, expect a swift repricing.
  • A neutral tone could revive the risk bid quickly.

Market Terms

  • Policy event - A central bank decision that can move markets.
  • Rate volatility - Implied swings in interest rates.
  • Repricing - Markets adjusting expectations after new information.